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This book introduces the Markov Switching Multifractal (MSM) model, a novel approach to modeling asset returns that incorporates multifractal processes and regime-switching dynamics. The MSM model captures the long-memory, volatility clustering, and heavy tails observed in financial time series, offering a more accurate representation of market behavior compared to traditional models like GARCH.
Calvet and Fisher provide a unified framework that integrates insights from the natural sciences and mathematics into financial modeling. They demonstrate how to construct high-dimensional regime-switching models that are both easy to estimate and substantially outperform some of the best traditional forecasting models.
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Publisher: Academic Press
Publishing Year: 2008
ISBN: 978-0121500139
Pages: 272